The Growing Social and Economic Inequality and Its Global Impact

Catatan Diplomasi Politik Pelaut Nuswantara

Pelaut ADIPATI l Kalitbang INDOMARITIM  l  Direktur Eksekutif TRUST  l Presiden SPI  l  Volunteer INMETA

Social and economic inequality is on the rise worldwide, including in industrialized nations that have experienced significant growth and prosperity over the past few decades. Unfortunately, this growth has not been distributed evenly, and the gap between the highest and lowest income groups has been widening since the early 1970s. The global economic elite has enjoyed significant advancements, while the incomes of the middle and lower classes have continued to decline. This situation is exacerbated by the current economic crisis and rising living costs, making the trend of inequality even more pronounced.

The widening inequality has far-reaching impacts and significant consequences for society. The already fragile social solidarity weakens further, trust in state institutions declines, and confidence in the market economy’s ability to provide welfare for all is threatened. This creates an unsustainable path that risks destroying the social contract and triggering economic instability. Google’s antitrust loss shows that regulators can successfully challenge U.S. tech companies; but while such rulings will impact companies’ operations, they are unlikely to weaken the dominance of major firms or stop the tech sector from creating large, sprawling corporations.

In a landmark Aug. 5 2024 ruling, a U.S. federal judge ruled that Google violated the Sherman Act in protecting its monopoly in online search after a ten-week trial held last year. In his ruling, Judge Amit Mehta said that ”Google is a monopolist, and it has acted as one to maintain its monopoly.” Shortly after the ruling, Google announced that it would appeal. The ruling was closely watched as the Google online search case was the first to go to trial in a series of lawsuits filed by the two federal U.S. antitrust enforcement arms — the Department of Justice (DOJ) and the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) — against large.

Could Antitrust Efforts Control the Global Dominance of U.S. Tech Companies?

In the United States, the federal government has filed several major antitrust cases in recent months, including efforts to block Microsoft’s acquisition of game developer Activision and legal action against Google concerning its advertising business. Despite the failed attempt to stop Meta from acquiring a virtual reality startup, the government continues to target other major tech companies, such as Amazon.

However, antitrust law appears to be a problematic tool in controlling big tech companies. Antitrust authorities have a poor track record of winning lawsuits that proceed to court. Federal law does not cover behaviors that regulators now believe harm competition, such as controlling consumer data to create competitive advantages. For the past 40 years, the standard for proving antitrust violations in court has been consumer harm in the form of higher prices, not harm to competitors.

Nonetheless, regulators understand that major cases against big companies send a strong message to deter future deals. Successful tech companies, which have long expanded into markets by acquiring promising startups, are now under intense government scrutiny. Even if deals go through, companies will be encouraged to make voluntary concessions. For example, in the Activision deal, Microsoft offered substantial limitations on how it would handle Activision products post-merger.

Aggressive litigation strategies, even when unsuccessful, can significantly disrupt companies deemed too powerful. Legal cases can take years to resolve, and during that time, senior management may be distracted by legal matters rather than focusing on the business. Companies might also doubt their current plans, fearing that new initiatives will exacerbate existing lawsuits or weaken their negotiation positions.

The Biden administration believes that taking bold steps, even if they fail, puts pressure on Congress to pass legislation that expands the types of harm addressed by antitrust law. Bills that would accomplish this have circulated in Congress before but have not reached decisive votes. Therefore, President Biden has called on the new Congress to pass bipartisan legislation, including antitrust reforms, to hold Big Tech accountable.

The Impact of Global Technology Regulation on Indonesia’s Economy

Indonesia, with its rapidly growing economy and large population, cannot escape the impact of global technology regulation. The regulatory measures taken by the European Union, the United States, and other countries against major tech companies will have significant implications for Indonesia’s economy. Here are some potential effects:

Changes in Technology Access
Stricter regulations on major tech companies can affect technology access in Indonesia. If companies like Google, Microsoft, Meta, and others are forced to make concessions or limit their operations, this could impact the availability and quality of digital services in Indonesia. Major tech companies often play a crucial role in providing digital infrastructure and essential services that support Indonesia’s digital economy.

Local Competition and Innovation
Pressure on major tech companies creates opportunities for local tech companies to grow and compete. Regulations that limit the dominance of large corporations can open space for local innovation and startups to thrive. This could strengthen the local tech ecosystem and encourage more domestic innovation.

Foreign Investment and Collaboration
Stricter global regulations could lead major tech companies to seek more flexible markets for investment and expansion. Indonesia, with its large population and increasing internet penetration, could become an attractive investment target. Moreover, collaboration between major tech companies and local firms could enhance knowledge and technology transfer to Indonesia.

Increased Awareness of Local Regulations
With strict regulations in global markets, the Indonesian government might also be prompted to enhance regulations in the tech sector. This could include stricter rules regarding data protection, privacy, and antitrust practices in Indonesia. Better regulations can help create a fairer and more transparent business environment, ultimately supporting digital economic growth.

Impact on Consumers
For Indonesian consumers, changes in global regulations can affect the prices and availability of tech products and services. If major tech companies are forced to comply with stricter rules, their operational costs might increase, which could be passed on to consumers. However, stricter regulations can also improve service quality and consumer protection.

Digital Economy Resilience
Global regulations that curb the dominance of major tech companies can help strengthen Indonesia’s digital economy resilience. By encouraging more local and foreign players to compete in a more balanced market, Indonesia can reduce its dependence on a few major companies and build a more diverse and dynamic digital ecosystem.

The impact of global technology regulation on Indonesia’s economy will be diverse and complex. While there are challenges, such as potential cost increases and changes in technology access, there are also significant opportunities for local growth and innovation. By strategically leveraging these changes, Indonesia can strengthen its economic position in the global digital era and ensure that the benefits of technological advancements are felt across all levels of society.

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